Jan Blachowicz Breakdown:
Both men come into this battle on career highs. Santos has appeared unstoppable since going up to light heavyweight, whilst Blachowicz now rides a dominant four fight win streak. This matchup however looks to favour Blachowicz in lots of ways. Durability and cardio is going to be a big factor and there a not many tougher than Blachowicz. Santos throws everything with complete power and relies on finishing opponents. In a five round combat this approach is a risky one that is going to backfire in the later rounds. Blachowicz brings quitting power of their own but conserves cardio to get a output. On the toes both guys can have their moments, but the exact jab of Blachowicz is likely to trigger Santos problems. His boxing is reckless yet wild and a straight jab is one of the best counters to looping hooks. The biggest advantage goes to Blachowicz on the ground. Since Santos tires the takedowns will be available and Santos has struggled at the grappling department. The BJJ black-belt skills should find Blachowicz a complete once the opportunity presents.
Bet = Blachowicz at 2.00 (+100) chances. Risk 3 Units to acquire 3.0 Units.
Damir Ismagulov Breakdown:
Ismagulov welcomes the UFC newcomer in what ought to be a one sided affair. On the feet Ismagulov is quick with his in and out striking. Defensively he avoids trouble whilst throwing some gaudy strikes to keep opponents guessing. Alvarez looks slower on the feet using a riskier style. He keeps his hands but does throw aggressive combinations. The significant differential lies at the grappling department. Alvarez hasn’t shown good takedown defense on the regional landscape and is based on high hazard admissions off his spine. Against UFC calibre opponents this strategy succeeds. Look for Ismagulov to push his edge standing and search for excursions and takedowns into the mat in which he favours control and top position through floor and pound.
Bet = Ismagulov at 1.34 (-290) odds. Risk 5 Units to win 1.70 Units.
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