After what has felt from media and business groups and months of anticipation, the Oscars are finally upon us. All 24 classes will be passed out on Sunday night, February 24, through a ceremony hosted by… well, no on in particular. Maybe. However, who will win? Scroll down for our full predictions in every class from Greatest Picture all the way to Best Live Action Short. The nominees are listed together with our projected winners.
As of the writing more than 6,000 enrolled Gold Derby users have chimed in with their Oscar picks. That includes the Pro journalists we’ve polled from major media outlets, the Editors who pay awards yearlong for Gold Derby, the Top 24 Users who obtained the highest scores predicting last year’s Oscar winners, and the All-Star Top 24 who had the best forecast scores when you combine the last two year’s Oscar outcomes. Last, of course, is our range of Users, among whom will set the rest of our predictions to shame.
Some years a powerful industry consensus forms around a single movie, as when”Argo” (2012) and”Birdman” (2014) swept the significant guild prizes in their way to Oscar successes for Best Picture. But this year was divided. “Green Book” was looking good when it won Best Picture at the Producers Guild Awards, but director Peter Farrelly was snubbed at the Oscars. “Black Panther” won the SAG Award for the ensemble cast, but it too underperformed from the Oscar nominations.
Then”Roma” won the Directors Guild Award and subsequently followed that up with a BAFTA victory for Best Picture. And it is tied to”The Favourite” as the year’s most nominated film at the Oscars. So it is our front-runner for Best Picture going into Oscar weekend. But other films have appeared strong in recent years only to be tripped up at the finish line. “The Revenant” (2015) appeared like the top contender until it had been upset by”Spotlight” And right then”La La Land” (2016) looked like it had everything sewn up till it had been bested by”Moonlight” in among the biggest upsets in history.
SEEJust how big a lock is Alfonso Cuaron (‘Roma’) for Best Director Oscar? There are A renegade Pros currently gambling against him
Can you believe you have this year’s race figured out? Have a look at our forecasts. You can make or update your predictions here before Sunday night’s main event.
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