Converting College Football Point Spreads Using Moneyline Calculator

In the past we’ve talked about how to bet on NCAAF and one option is money lines. If you are not familiar with this kind of wagering, it is only betting on who you believe will win the game outright. This also means there isn’t any point spread. The risk involved is corrected based on the betting line, or the likelihood of every team winning the match.
Let us look at an illustration. A favored is around -151. This line states is that you need to wager $151 for each $100 you want to win. The reverse is true for when betting on an underdog. A puppy that is 3-point would have a lineup around +124. Here you would win $124 for every $100 you bet if this team wins the game outright.
Now you know the most basic idea of handicapping NCAA soccer, the question you need to be asking is,”Are moneyline bets profitable?” I have researched over 17,000 NCAA soccer games to attempt to discover the answer.
The graphs below show two money lines. The”anticipated moneyline” signifies a mix Directly win percent of every game in every situation at the line awarded. It is converted from a percent. The”real moneyline” reveals the typical line that a book would place at each spread (e.g. -3 is generally -124).
Comparing those numbers we can see if the bets are profitable. As you will see, there are some situations that have been rewarding, but most aren’t.
By way of example, in the typical sportsbook, a favorite of -5 could have a moneyline of -204. As our history reveals, the actual value of 5-point favorites is just -164. You are paying far too much juice. On the flip side, icons of -5.5 have an advantage of -241 into -214 (expected vs. actual, respectively).

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