This weekend, we have an 11-fight card at Greenville, South Carolina. DraftKings has some adequate contests for us to win a lot of cash from this week. The main GPP is a $15 buy and $25k goes to 1st place with a total of $120k being paid out. In addition they possess a Qualifier only contest for $175,000. There’ll be 100 qualifiers for that contest and they’ll compete for a $50k first location cost and $175k will be distributed between all 100 admissions that qualify. I will attempt to receive my 3rd seat this week to maximum it if I could. Those Qualifier only competitions can be real bankroll suckers, so be careful chasing those too hard. I will probably stick to the top GPP this week and then throw a small number of entries at the $30k prize, and then I will likely have a few shots at the Q. I will also be posting H2Hs in addition to picking up H2Hs through the week to get a fantastic amount of drama into money games.
With that said, let’s get to a couple plays I enjoy this week Together with my fade of this week:
Cash Game play of the week — Main Event STACK — Renato Moicano and Chan Sung Jung
For me personally, this is an easy stack in money week. I think we readily have a floor of 100 using Renato Moicano and The Korean Zombie with upside of ~150. Additionally, it guarantees us the winner. As I have mentioned many times in the past, we don’t want 6 wins in money games, so play those type of games all you’ve got to do is beat half the area. Usually 4 wins or 400+ points is great enough to cash in most cash games. Even in case you have a strong lean on this fight I still recommend stacking.
GPP play of this week — Jairzinho Rozenstruik — $9,000
Rozenstruik has the highest ITD line on the card at -140 and he can hit 100+ DK points by obtaining that in round 1. The worry here will be him on his back in round 1 and then scoring zero points through that and then going out and obtaining a KO in round 2. Or no KO in any way. Both of these would take him away the perfect lineup so we need this fight to keep standing and ideally an early KO. I believe that is very possible and he will be a core GPP play of mine this week. He is not the greatest money game play however because he could be placed on his back and be stuck there and perhaps even lose the fight that way. I’m OK with him in cash, but I won’t be making a priority like I’m being overweight in GPPs.
Underdog play of this week — Anderson Dos Santos — $7,900
This gambling line is all about pickem’ having a small lean towards Dos Santos. However, Ewell is the favorite on DraftKings and is $400 greater than ADS. Ewell is likewise the striker so that he to score tremendously he is going to need a complete finish. His weakness is Anderson Dos Santos’ strength though. Ewell has difficulty staying off his back and if ADS can place him there he could submit him. He could rack up numerous takedowns to get a high decision score. I enjoy the value we’re getting on him $7.9k and I like that he should be seeking to grapple in this particular fight. That is why I needed to select him as my dog of this week.
Fade of this week — Syuri Kondo $8,000
There aren’t any real simple fades this week. I do have a full fade on Kondo though because she seems to be only a striker and I think Ashely Yoder’s greatest path to success is by way of grappling. If Kondo is not in a striking game for 15-minutes I don’t see how she scores highly unless she receives a finish. I don’t believe she has KO power, so I believe it is purely the significant strikes and the win bonus which we would be relying here. I’d rather take a fighter with a opportunity to complete or who’s more inclined to grapple. That is why Kondo is my fade of the week.
Thank you for reading this and decent luck this weekend! If You’d like my full-card breakdown where I breakdown every fight on the card and provide my complete DraftKings analysis, as well as all of my pick predictions, then you can find that for only $7.99 at this link below:
(Premium bets are offered at that link too. I’m 81-51 to get +251.89un (+$25,189) since May 19th, 2018 on Premium Plays)
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