Jan Blachowicz Breakdown:
Both men come into this fight career highs. Santos has appeared unstoppable since going up to light heavyweight, whilst Blachowicz now rides a dominant four battle win streak. This matchup however looks to favour Blachowicz in lots of ways. Durability and cardio is going to be a large factor and there a not many more demanding than Blachowicz. Santos throws everything with full power and relies on finishing opponents. At a five round fight this approach is a risky one that is going to backfire in the subsequent rounds. Blachowicz brings quitting power of his own but conserves cardio to get a outcome. On the toes both men can have their moments, but the precise jab of Blachowicz will be likely to trigger Santos problems. His boxing is reckless yet crazy and also a straight jab is one of the best counters to looping hooks. The largest advantage goes to Blachowicz on the floor. As Santos tires that the takedowns will be available and Santos has struggled in the grappling department. The BJJ black-belt skills must find Blachowicz a finish once the opportunity presents.
Bet = Blachowicz in 2.00 (+100) odds. Risk 3 Units to win 3.0 Units.
Damir Ismagulov Breakdown:
Ismagulov welcomes the UFC newcomer in what ought to be a one sided affair. On the toes Ismagulov is quick with his in and out striking. Defensively he averts trouble whilst throwing in some gaudy strikes to keep opponents guessing. Alvarez looks slower on the toes using a riskier style. He keeps his hands low but does throw aggressive combinations. The significant differential lies at the grappling section. Alvarez has not shown great takedown defense on the regional landscape and relies on high risk submissions off his back. This strategy rarely succeeds. Look for Ismagulov to push his edge standing and search for trips and takedowns into the mat where he favours top and control position through floor and pound.
Bet = Ismagulov at 1.34 (-290) chances. Risk 5 Units to acquire 1.70 Units.
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