Jan Blachowicz Breakdown:
Both guys come into this battle career highs. Santos has looked unstoppable since going up to light heavyweight, whilst Blachowicz currently rides a dominant four battle win streak. This matchup however looks to favour Blachowicz in lots of ways. Durability and cardio will be a big factor and there’s a few more demanding than Blachowicz. Santos yells everything with complete power and relies on completing opponents. In a five round fight this approach is a risky one that will backfire in the later rounds. Blachowicz brings stopping power of their own but conserves cardio to get a more consistent outcome. On the toes both guys may have their moments, but the precise jab of Blachowicz will be very likely to trigger Santos problems. His boxing is reckless yet wild and also a straight jab is one of the best counters to looping hooks. The biggest advantage goes to Blachowicz on the floor. Since Santos tires that the takedowns will be open and Santos has historically struggled in the grappling department. The BJJ black-belt abilities should find Blachowicz a complete once the opportunity presents.
Bet = Blachowicz in 2.00 (+100) odds. Risk 3 Units to acquire 3.0 Units.
Damir Ismagulov Breakdown:
Ismagulov welcomes the UFC newcomer in what ought to be a one sided affair. On the feet Ismagulov is fast with his in and out striking. Defensively he avoids trouble whilst throwing in some gaudy strikes to keep opponents guessing. Alvarez looks slower on the toes with a riskier design. He keeps his hands but does throw competitive combinations. The significant differential lies at the grappling section. Alvarez hasn’t shown great takedown defense on the regional scene and is based on high risk submissions off his back. This strategy rarely succeeds. Look for Ismagulov to push his advantage standing and search for excursions and takedowns to the mat in which he favours control and top position via ground and pound.
Bet = Ismagulov at 1.34 (-290) chances. Risk 5 Units to acquire 1.70 Units.
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