Jan Blachowicz Breakdown:
Both guys come into this fight career highs. Santos has appeared unstoppable since moving up to light heavyweight, whilst Blachowicz currently rides a dominant four fight win streak. This matchup however looks to favour Blachowicz in lots of ways. Durability and cardio will be a large factor and there’s a few tougher than Blachowicz. Santos yells everything with full power and is based on finishing opponents. At a five round combat this approach is a risky one that will backfire in the later rounds. Blachowicz brings quitting power of his own but conserves cardio to get a more consistent output. On the feet both men can get their moments, but the precise jab of Blachowicz is likely to cause Santos problems. His boxing is dangerous yet wild and a straight jab is one of the best counters to looping hooks. The largest advantage goes to Blachowicz around the floor. As Santos tires that the takedowns will be open and Santos has struggled at the grappling department. The BJJ black-belt skills must find Blachowicz a finish once the opportunity presents.
Bet = Blachowicz at 2.00 (+100) chances. Risk 3 Units to win 3.0 Units.
Damir Ismagulov Breakdown:
Ismagulov welcomes the UFC newcomer in what ought to be a one sided affair. On the feet Ismagulov is fast with his in and out striking. Defensively he avoids trouble whilst throwing some gaudy strikes to keep opponents guessing. Alvarez appears thinner on the toes with a riskier design. He keeps his hands low but does throw aggressive combinations. The major differential lies at the grappling department. Alvarez has not shown good takedown defense on the regional scene and is based on high hazard admissions off his back. Against UFC calibre competitions this strategy seldom succeeds. Search for Ismagulov to push his advantage standing and search for trips and takedowns into the mat in which he favours top and control position through floor and pound.
Bet = Ismagulov in 1.34 (-290) chances. Risk 5 Components to acquire 1.70 Units.
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