Vegas Over/Under: 48.5
Fromal’s Record Projection: 48-34
The Bet: Avoid but lean under
Though the Toronto Raptors’ offseason may be deemed a positive since they were able to retain Kyle Lowry and Serge Ibaka, they did not escape scot-free.
Cory Joseph and DeMarre Carroll were exchanged away to new locations, which places much more strain on Delon Wright and new registering C.J. Miles to fill the shoes of the departed contributors.
Fortunately, they ought to be able to.
Joseph was not especially successful in Toronto, and Wright has significantly more upside as Lowry’s primary backup. And following Carroll proved a separation on his new arrangement, Miles should match with his spot-up art and willingness to do the small things so well.
All these are strong but largely lateral motions, including high floors but more than hints at loftier ceilings.
The Raptors went 51-31 last year, which was a true representation of their skills.
But regression is arriving –not because of roster moves, but rather players slipping down at the leaguewide pecking order. Lowry is just another year removed from his 30th birthday (terrible news for a point guard), Ibaka is no spring chicken and the team is relying on much more youth for its depth, which could result in some inconsistent showings.
Toronto should still end near the top of this Eastern Conference; our projections have them at No. 4. But compelling for 50 wins may be asking a bit much.
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